TAKE IT FROM THE TOP: LAKELAND IS HOT 02/27/2007 CNN MONEY
Three Florida cities ranked among the top 5 in the nation for rising home values, according to Business 2.0 magazine: Panama City (No. 1), with a 72 percent projected gain in home prices over five years. A new airport that will be built next year will open the area to vacationers and residents. Vero Beach came in at No. 2, with a 64 percent projected gain in home prices over five years. Demand for housing along with moderate property taxes and beautiful weather will drive growth. Finally, Lakeland ranked No. 4 with a 59 percent projected gain in home prices over five years. This growing area is only 30 minutes from Tampa via Interstate 4, but prices are one-fifth less, according to the study. For more information, go to: Read the Full Story
Second-Home Owner Survey :Shows Solid Market, Appetite for More
WASHINGTON (May 11, 2006) – A new survey of second-home owners by the National Association of Realtors® shows baby boomers continue to dominate the market, and a growing number of second homes – more than one-in-ten – are owned by minorities. A surprising majority of respondents own multiple properties in addition to their primary residence.
David Lereah, NAR's chief economist, said the market continues to be dominated by the baby boom generation. "Middle-aged, middle-income households are the driving factor in the second-home market, with favorable demographics providing a solid fundamental demand in this sector for the next decade," Lereah said. "Boomers believe in diversifying their assets, and most second-home owners see their purchase as being a better investment than stocks. A surprising majority of survey respondents hold multiple properties, and they are interested in purchasing additional homes." About six in ten respondents own two or more homes in addition to their primary residence.
Minorities have become more active in the market, accounting for 11 percent of vacation home purchases between 2003 and 2005 in contrast with 6 percent of purchases in 2002 or earlier. In the investment property segment, minorities accounted for 17 percent of transactions between 2003 and 2005 compared with 11 percent in 2002 or earlier.
An unexpectedly high number of vacation-home owners, 21 percent, own two or more vacation homes. In addition, 34 percent of vacation-home owners report they own two or more investment properties.
More than half of investment property owners, 53 percent, own two or more investment homes and 12 percent own two or more vacation homes.
Analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data shows there are 6.8 million vacation homes in the United States and 37.4 million investment units in addition to 74.6 million owner-occupied units.
NAR President Thomas M. Stevens from Vienna, Va., said the term "second home" appears to be something of a misnomer. "The fact that so many owners of vacation homes and investment property have additional properties is a bit of a revelation," said Stevens, senior vice president of NRT Inc.
"We've always known that a certain segment has invested heavily in the rental market, and some people earn their living simply by holding and managing investment property. What we see now is a crossover between largely vacation- and investment-home owners, with people recognizing the value of those investments and pouring more assets into real estate," Stevens said.
The typical vacation-home owner is 59 years old, earned $120,600 last year, and purchased a property that is 220 miles from their primary residence, but 34 percent were less than 100 miles and another 34 percent were 500 miles or more. Eight out ten drive to their property, and half of vacation homes are located within the same state as the owner's primary residence. Eighty-three percent of owners are married couples.
Three-fourths of vacation-home owners purchased for personal use, although one-third also wanted to diversify investments, and 18 percent intended that the home would become a primary residence in retirement. Only 13 percent of vacation owners listed rental income as a reason to buy. The typical owner spends 39 nights per year at their property, and three-quarters do not rent out. Of those who do rent their vacation home, the median number is 12 nights per year.
The median age of an investment owner is 55, with an income of $98,600 in 2005; 75 percent of owners are married couples. Their investment property is located close by, within a median distance of 10 miles.
Two-thirds of investment-home owners purchased their property to generate rental income, and half viewed the property as a way to diversify investments. Eight out of ten spend no time in their property. Not surprisingly, 80 percent rent it out, with 73 percent renting for at least six months per year.
For all second home owners, their most recent property was purchased a median of six years ago. However, most have held additional properties for longer periods.
As for attributes desired in a vacation home, two-thirds want to be close to an ocean, river or lake; 39 percent close to recreational or sporting activities; 38 percent close to vacation or resort areas; and 31 percent close to mountains or other natural attractions.
Leisure activities of interest to vacation-home owners include beach, lake or water sports, 57 percent; boating, 38 percent; hunting or fishing, 32 percent; golf, 21 percent; biking, hiking or horseback riding, 20 percent; ski or winter recreation, 17 percent; and tennis, 9 percent.
Half of vacation homes are located in resort or recreational areas, 18 percent in small towns and 16 percent in rural areas. Four out of ten are detached single-family homes, 22 percent are cabins or cottages, 21 percent condos in buildings with five or more units, 7 percent a townhouse or row house, 5 percent a mobile or manufactured home, and 3 percent are located in two-to-four unit structures; 1 percent were other. Six percent said their vacation home was a timeshare unit.
The median size of a vacation home is 1,480 square feet, 29 percent were new when purchased, and owners estimated the current value to be a median of $300,000 – 68 percent said the value of that property was lower than their primary residence. Sixty-five percent of owners said their vacation property was a better investment than stocks.
Six out of ten investment properties are located within metropolitan areas. Half are single-family homes, 21 percent are a duplex or apartment in a two-to-four unit structure, 13 percent condos in a building with five or more units, 8 percent a townhouse or row house, 3 percent a mobile or manufactured home, and 2 percent a cabin or cottage; 4 percent were other.
The median size of an investment property is 1,520 square feet, 15 percent were new when purchased, and owners estimated the current value to be $200,000. Three-fourths said the value of their investment property was lower than their primary residence, and 70 percent said their property was a better investment than stocks.
Four percent of vacation-home owners and 8 percent of investment owners said they intended for their child to occupy that property while in school.
Among buyers of second homes in recent years (since 2003), two-thirds purchased through a real estate agent. Eighteen percent of vacation homes and 17 percent of investment properties were purchased directly from owners, while 14 percent of vacation homes and 7 percent of investment properties were purchased directly from builders.
Thirty-two percent of all vacation-home owners and 24 percent of investment owners paid cash for their property. Combined with mortgages that have been paid-off, 82 percent of vacation homes and 75 percent of investment properties are owned free and clear.
Of owners who purchased with a mortgage, the median downpayment on a vacation home was 27 percent and the median downpayment for an investment home was 23 percent.
When asked about the source of downpayment funds for more recent vacation-home owners with loans, who purchased since 2003, half said savings, 23 percent from the sale of other real estate, and 19 percent identified equity or sales proceeds from their primary residence.
For more recent investment owners who purchased with mortgages, half said downpayment funds came from savings, 28 percent from equity or sales proceeds of their primary residence, and 18 percent from the sale of other real estate.
"With older baby boomers just now reaching 60 years of age, and younger boomers in their early 40s, the lifestyle preference of boomers will figure prominently into future demand for vacation homes," Lereah said. Eleven percent of vacation-home owners said they were planning to buy another home within two years, and 10 percent said they planned to sell.
On the other hand, ownership of investment property hinges on financial gains that can be expected from rental income and appreciation. "Mortgage interest rates, local economic conditions and the local rental market are more important factors in investment decisions. Cooling appreciation rates and greater loan oversight are expected to discourage the speculative element in the investment market, although that is likely to be a relatively small portion of the overall market," Lereah said.
Even so, 35 percent of all investment-home owners said they were planning to buy another home within two years. For those who currently own four or more investment units, 64 percent said they planned to buy another property within two years, and 17 percent said they planned to purchase five or more additional properties.
Twenty-eight percent of investment owners plan to sell a property within two years.
The 2006 National Association of Realtors® Profile of Second-Home Owners is based on an eight-page questionnaire mailed in January 2006 to a nationwide sample of 45,000 households who owned more than one residential property. It generated 416 usable responses from vacation-home owners and 619 from investment owners.
PRICED OUT OF THE MARKET? 01/16/2007 It's getting more difficult to build projects involving mixed-income housing. CED Construction, a workforce housing developer, says rising land prices and the need for new schools and road upgrades make it difficult for it to profitably build mixed-income housing. Officials say the company's $36 million Marbella project in Orange County, where 40 percent of units will be reserved for households earning no more than 60 percent of the local median income, may be the last affordable-housing development there for some time. "We have two issues that compete within our community: the need for affordable housing, and school and transportation concurrency rules," explains CED Construction Vice President Scott Culp. "It is very difficult to get a site for these projects that meets all of the regulations." Orange County housing and community development manager Mitch Glasser says recommendations from a task force of developers and county officials on ways to continue producing affordable housing are expected by May. Source: Orlando Sentinel (FL) (01/16/07) Rivera-Lyles, Jeannette
FSBOS: FEWER GOING IT ALONE NAR reports a drop in the number of for-sale-by-owner (FSBO) transactions to 12 percent of all sales today from 18 percent in 1997. NAR spokesman Walter Molony says property owners believe agents are better equipped to achieve fast sales at top dollar in a slow market, adding that the median price for agent-assisted transactions was about 16 percent higher than FSBO sales last year. Molony notes that agents orchestrate showings, handle paperwork and identify serious buyers for sellers – who often lack the time or experience necessary to complete such tasks. NAR's 2006 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers shows that 5 percent of sales from mid-2005 to mid-2006 involved FSBO sellers turning to an agent, with only 1 percent of sales involving sellers who abandoned their agents to go it alone. Source: Investor's Business Daily (01/19/07) P. A8; Kelly, Brad
Chances Are: ( Orlando Area remains a prime Location) Thirteen national markets have a greater than 50 percent chance of housing price declines, according to PMI Mortgage Insurance Company's latest report, but none are in Florida. The Sunshine State's top ranked city is No. 17 on the list, Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach- Deerfield Beach, with a 44.1 percent chance of price declines. That means, however, that there's a 55.9 percent chance that home prices will stay constant or rise. Other Florida cities on the list, followed by the chance that prices will decline, are: No. 19, Miami-Miami Beach- Kendall, 35.9 percent (64.1 percent of no price decline); No. 23, Tampa- St. Petersburg- Clearwater, 29.4 percent (70.6 percent chance of no decline); and No. 26, Orlando-Kissimmee, 17.5 percent (82.5 percent chance of no decline). According to the report, six markets saw year- over-year home price appreciation above 20 percent led by Phoenix at 31.1 percent, followed by Orlando, Fort Lauderdale and Miami at 27.7 percent, 25.7 percent, and 24.7 percent, respectively. A podcast summarizing the report is available at http://qrelease.com/podcast/pmi/.
The Truth About Home Prices: 10/25/2006 Only prolonged job losses, subsequent forced home sales and rising foreclosures will lead to sustained home price declines. So what's going on with the price declines? It's the fact that the artificially high demand for home buying has dissipated. What I mean by "artificial" is those buyers who were looking to net quick bucks from flipping properties. At the same time, with prices falling these non-owner occupied homes are being put on the market. That, in turn, artificially elevates housing inventory levels. Higher inventory (more supply) lessens pressure on prices. Hence, prices fall even as the job market continues to steamroll. It will take several months for inventory to ease back down to more manageable, balanced levels. When that happens, home prices will quickly reenter positive territory. Read More>>>
Top Cities and Industries for Jobs: 10/10/2006 Following trends in hiring in the last six months, U.S. employers anticipate they will be recruiting at a moderated, yet stable, pace through the remainder of the year. Read the Full Story
Cooling Real-Estate Market? 08/14/06 Nationally, home price appreciation is slowing down from the rapid pace experienced by many markets over the past few years. Mortgage interest rates are on their way up. Is this any time to be thinking about investing in a home? Of course it is — if you're buying it for a place to live, not as a speculative investment, and can afford to take the leap. Read Full Article:
20 Red flags for predatory loans: Some of the deals they offer are obviously too good to be true -- nowhere more than in the subprime market, which serves lower-income individuals with credit poblems.07/31/06 Read Full Article:
Six Lessons for a Weak Real Estate Market: Hold on if you can Keeping a bad real estate investment might sound crazy, but it may be a heck of a lot better than cutting your net worth by a third. 08/06/06 Read the Article
Baby Boomers Sunny Second-Home Market, at least for now
(May 12, 2005) -- The near-term outlook for the second-home market is strong, but there are reasons to be concerned down the road, said David Lereah, chief economist for the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®, at NAR's Resort Real Estate Committee meeting on Wednesday in Washington, D.C.
The meeting was part of the 2005 REALTORS® Midyear Legislative Meetings & Trade Expo, being held May 9-14.
"For the next five to 10 years, this is a very, very healthy marketplace," Lereah said. "By and large, the second-home market is healthier than the primary-home market."
Second homes accounted for 36 percent of all residential transactions in 2004, with 23 percent purchased for investment purposes and 13 percent for vacation residences, according to NAR's 2005 Profile of Second-Home Buyers.
Fueling the second-home market are baby boomers taking advantage of equity built up in their primary residences; strong demand from foreign buyers; and easier financing availability. However, Lereah said loose lending practices and speculative buying could dampen demand for these properties in the future.
Lereah presented these additional highlights from NAR's second-home survey:
The typical vacation-home buyer is 55 years old with a total household income of $71,000. Investment-property homebuyers have a median age of 47 years with a typical household income of $85,700.
The median distance between a vacation-home buyer's primary residence and second home is 49 miles, compared with 18 miles for investment-property purchasers.
The majority of second-home-owning households—71 percent of vacation-home buyers and 59 percent of investment-property purchasers—have no children under 18 living at home.
83 percent of vacation-home buyers and 84 percent of investment-property purchasers used a real estate practitioner in their home search and purchase.
To reflect the increasing importance of second homes in all areas of the country, the committee has asked the NAR Board of Directors to approve a name change for the committee, to the Resort and Second Home Committee and Forum. —Chuck Paustian, REALTOR® Magazine Online
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